The Matchday 3 Bundesliga clash between Mainz and Leipzig will take place on September 13 at the Mewa Arena. Mainz vs. Leipzig: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Mainz
In the last round, Bo Henriksen's side drew 1-1 away to Wolfsburg. As a result, Mainz has failed to win 10 of their last 11 Bundesliga matches (6 draws, 4 losses). Moreover, they have not kept a clean sheet in their last 13 league matches. The team has earned one point and is currently in 13th place in the standings.
- The team has not lost in 13 of their last 14 home matches in the Bundesliga (6 wins, 7 draws).
- Both teams have scored in 5 of Mainz's last 6 home league matches.
- Mainz has scored exactly 1 or 2 goals in 10 of their last 12 home Bundesliga games.
Predicted lineup for Mainz (3-4-3)
Robin Zentner – Danny da Costa, Stefan Bell, Dominik Kohr – Anthony Caci, Nadiem Amiri, Kaishu Sano, Philipp Mwene – Arno Norden, Nelson Weiper, Lee Jae-sung.
Forward Benedict Hollerbach will miss the match due to injury. Midfielder Paul Nebel is suspended.
Leipzig
Ole Werner's side defeated Hoffenheim 2-0 at home in the previous round. As a result, Leipzig ended their six-match winless streak in the Bundesliga (3 draws, 3 losses). Furthermore, it was only the second time in their last ten league matches that they kept a clean sheet. In the standings, the club has three points and is in 11th place. Notably, Leipzig has conceded six goals this Bundesliga season, only ahead of two teams in this regard.
- The team has not won 10 of their last 11 away Bundesliga matches (5 draws, 5 losses).
- Leipzig has failed to score in 7 of their last 8 away league matches.
- At least four goals have been scored in 6 of Leipzig's last 9 Bundesliga matches.
Predicted lineup for Leipzig (4-3-3)
Peter Gulacsi – David Raum, Castello Lukeba, Willi Orban, Bote Baku – Antonio Nusa, Christoph Baumgartner, Xaver Schlager – Ezekiel Banzuzi, Romulo Cardoso, Johan Bakayoko.
Forward Ezekiel Banzuzi will miss the game due to injury.
Referee
Sven Jablonski (Germany)
Matches – 16 (Bundesliga, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 63;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.9;
Red cards shown – 3;
Average fouls per match – 20;
Penalties – 19%.
Match Prediction: Mainz vs. Leipzig
The hosts have not had the best start to the current championship, but Mainz is capable of making progress at home. They have lost just once in their last 14 home Bundesliga matches, winning six times in that span. Notably, their victories include matches against Bayern Munich (2-1) and Borussia Dortmund (3-1). Additionally, they managed to draw against Bayer Leverkusen (2-2) and Eintracht Frankfurt (1-1) during this period.
Leipzig often struggles away from home, having won only once in their last 11 away league matches (5 draws, 5 losses). Moreover, they failed to score in seven of these matches. Considering that Ole Werner's side suffered a heavy defeat to Bayern Munich (0-6) in their first away match of the current Bundesliga season, I expect a strong performance from the hosts. My prediction: Mainz with a handicap (0)
* For each team, the starting lineup from their previous match in this tournament is indicated.
